A Shift in European Stance Towards Netanyahu's Government: Are Changes Coming?

In recent months, European expressions of concern regarding the actions of Benjamin Netanyahu's government have shifted from mild criticism to outright condemnation. Last September, Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, expressed horror over aid restrictions that she claimed resulted in a manmade famine in Gaza. Brussels has also condemned settler violence and land grabs in the West Bank, asserting that these acts undermine the viability of a Palestinian state. Following Israel's bombing of Lebanon, the EU's foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, stated that Israel's right to self-defense does not justify such destruction. Despite the angry rhetoric from European leaders, Netanyahu and his administration have largely dismissed these criticisms, likely reassured by their key ally, the United States, which has seemingly supported their position. The EU, which is Israel's largest trading partner, has substantial economic influence, yet its internal disunity and reliance on persuasion have prevented it from utilizing this leverage effectively. Recent political developments in Europe signal a potential change in this approach. The electoral defeat of Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán weakens Netanyahu's far-right coalition, as Hungary was singular in opposing sanctions against violent settlers in the West Bank. Austria's new leadership may soon revisit the proposal for such sanctions. Moreover, Spain has formally called for the suspension of the EU's association agreement with Israel, amidst allegations of human rights violations. Although unanimous support for such measures is unlikely—especially from nations like Germany—a partial suspension could theoretically move forward with a weighted majority. As the Israeli government's extremism becomes increasingly evident and geopolitical instability unfolds due to the US-Israel conflict with Iran, European nations may find it crucial to reassess their positions. With a third of Israel's trade conducted with the EU, Europe holds significant cards to play, amplified by cultural and academic ties based on shared values. While past attempts by Brussels to influence Tel Aviv have been ineffective, a shift in the political landscape may finally prompt Europe to take a tougher stance on Israel's actions. Related Sources: • Source 1 • Source 2