Hurricane Milton's Reverse Storm Surge: Risks and Warnings in Tampa Bay
As Hurricane Milton barrels through Florida, a fascinating yet dangerous phenomenon has emerged in Tampa Bay that has caught social media's attention: the receding of water in the bay. The Florida Division of Emergency Management has issued a crucial alert via its X account, urging residents and visitors to steer clear of the area. 'Do not walk out into receding water in Tampa Bay; the water WILL return through storm surge and poses a life-threatening risk,' the agency cautioned shortly after 9 pm local time.
This unusual behavior of the sea is known as a reverse or negative storm surge. It occurs when hurricane winds blow water away from the shore, resulting in an unexpected drop in water levels. A 2023 study published in the journal Ocean Modelling noted that while reverse surges may present less danger than typical storm surges, they still create significant risks for coastal ecosystems, boats, and individuals who might consider venturing out onto the exposed seabed.
News Nation correspondent Brian Entin captured the striking visuals of this event and shared them on social media. Standing on Bayshore Boulevard in Tampa Bay, he relayed that it appeared Milton was 'sucking up water.' The extent of the water's absence was astonishing, as he narrated, 'Our light isn't bright enough to see how far it goes, but I don't see any water as far as I can see.' His observations were echoed by NOAA's reports of severe water depletion in the area.
Meteorologist Ernie Jillson, speaking with USA Today, clarified that the phenomenon of reverse surge is, to a large degree, influenced by the geography of the waterways involved. 'Bays are more susceptible because they're like a bowl of water. They’re protected by land on all sides except one, which is why they’re so susceptible to being emptied out,' she explained.
As Hurricane Milton continues its relentless march inland—clocking in at a speed of about 16 mph (26 km/h) according to the National Hurricane Center—it remains a potent force. Initially making landfall as a Category 3 storm in Sarasota County around 8:30 pm, Milton still poses substantial dangers, with maximum sustained winds reported at around 102 mph (165 km/h) and gusts extending up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.
Forecasts predict significant rainfall, with accumulations of 8 to 14 inches, and in isolated locations, up to 18 inches (45 cm) is anticipated. The combination of strong winds and heavy precipitation, alongside the threat of storm surge, sets the stage for a perilous situation for communities in the storm's path.
As hurricane season continues, it is imperative for people in affected areas to stay informed and heed the warnings from emergency management officials.
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