Shifting Political Landscape in Spain: PSOE Maintains Lead Amidst Rising Concerns

Recent polling data from the CIS barometer for May indicates that the Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) remains the leading political force in Spain with 32% of votes if elections were held today. While this signals a strong position for the PSOE, it also reflects a decrease of six tenths compared to previous results, indicating a slight erosion of support. In an interesting turn of events, the People's Party (PP) has experienced a resurgence, climbing from 26.1% to 29.3%, a significant recovery after a previous barometer had recorded them at levels not seen since March 2022.

However, this increase in support for the PP seems to have come at the expense of the far-right party, Vox, which after achieving its highest level of support in April has now dipped to 13.7%. In addition, the leftist coalition Sumar is also experiencing challenges, hitting a historic low since its introduction in the CIS in April 2023, now at 6.1%. In contrast, Podemos, a rival leftist party, shows signs of growth, rising to 4.3%, reducing the gap between the two formations considerably to less than two points.

Moreover, the political climate is marked by mounting concerns among the Spanish populace. Housing has consistently emerged as the top national issue, maintaining its status for another month in the CIS survey. Following housing, political issues—particularly discontent directed towards the government and political parties—are at an alarming high, noted as the fifth major concern, with 18.1% of respondents voicing their dissatisfaction. Meanwhile, unemployment (19.2%) and the economic crisis (19.1%) remain at the forefront of public anxiety.

The overall sentiment surrounding the government is reaching unprecedented levels of concern, suggesting a turbulent political future as parties navigate changing voter attitudes and pressing national issues. As the political scene unfolds, both the PSOE and PP find themselves in a complex and evolving landscape, where each movement in voter sentiment could significantly impact their strategies leading up to future elections.

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