Spain's Inflation Rate Declines: A Closer Look at July 2023 CPI Figures

In July 2023, Spain witnessed a decrease in its Consumer Price Index (CPI), falling by 0.5% compared to the previous month. This decline brought the annual inflation rate down to 2.8%, a reduction of six-tenths, primarily attributed to lower prices in electricity and food items. The National Statistics Institute (INE) released final data on Tuesday confirming these preliminary figures from the previous month.

A notable contributor to the CPI's decline was the significant drop in prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages, which decreased by 1.1 points, bringing the inflation rate for this sector down to 3.1% in July. This reduction is largely thanks to a decrease in fruit prices and oils and fats, which had increased during the same time last year.

The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Business, led by Carlos Cuerpo, noted that food inflation is on a downward trend, marking its lowest rate in nearly three years as of June, dating back to October 2021. In providing context, the department pointed out that these inflation statistics reflect the resilience of the Spanish economy, indicating strong economic growth while managing price moderation. This relationship is underscored by the second quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth data.

The Ministry attributed July's continued progressive decline in food inflation to various support measures that have been implemented, allowing for a reduction in the differential between food inflation and general inflation.

The most recent CPI figures signify that inflation has experienced two consecutive months of declines after increases in March, April, and May. The July decrease marks inflation at its lowest level since February when the CPI also stood at 2.8%. Furthermore, core inflation, which excludes unprocessed food and energy products, mirrored the general CPI rate at 2.8% in July, having dropped two-tenths compared to June, marking the lowest core inflation rate since January 2022.

Comparing July to the previous month, the CPI experienced a contraction of five-tenths after six months of continuous increases. Meanwhile, the Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HCPI) recorded an annual rate of 2.9%, down from June, while the monthly variation of the HCPI was reported at 0.7%.

As Spain navigates these fluctuating inflation rates, the ongoing economic growth combined with a favorable inflationary environment creates a cautiously optimistic outlook for the months ahead. Stakeholders are keenly observing how these trends evolve and what implications they may have for consumers and businesses alike.

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